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24 JAN 2022

Preparing for Jan FOMC

News and insights

Key Points

The market prepares for the Jan FOMC meeting amid rates volatility, geopolitical risks and lower forward guidance from Q4 earnings; front end higher yielding assets as well as leveraged loans / CLOs outperformed

10-yr UST has temporarily reached >1.8% while the curve flattened as the market remains reluctant to price in a much higher terminal rate; real yields across the curve remain deeply negative, leaving duration products subject to further vol

Credit valuation screens cheap on an 18-month lookback, Bank AT1s are (so far) among the best performers within the cash bond universe thanks to a higher carry buffer

The portfolio continues to focus on a low credit duration taking advantage of attractive entry points in short-dated Bank AT1s as well as re-open themes; the portfolio also added a bit of CLO exposure given their floating rate structure

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